Probabilistic estimation of the remaining lifetime of a oil and gas pipeline by the hoop-stress criterion


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Abstract

A forecasting model of the remaining lifetime of a diagnosed oil and gas pipeline is suggested depending on the strength reliability factor: the survival probability when the breaking point, pressure, diameter and wall thickness are regularly distributed, and the remaining lifetime is subject to a Weilbull two-parameter distribution.

About the authors

V. I. Kucheryavyi

Ukhta State Technical University

Email: srg55m@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Ukhta

S. N. Mil’kov

Ukhta State Technical University

Author for correspondence.
Email: srg55m@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Ukhta

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