Rational aggregation of territory in long-term forecasting of energy prices


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Abstract

A phased approach to the rational aggregation of territory and objects with respect to the solved problem and controversy of the initial data has been considered in the article using the example of forecasting energy prices in Russia’s macroregions. The results of an estimate of the influence of regional specifics and nature of uncertainty of used information on the probable inaccuracy of forecasts and aggregation errors.

About the authors

D. Yu. Kononov

Melentiev Energy Systems Institute

Author for correspondence.
Email: dima@isem.irk.ru
Russian Federation, Irkutsk, 664033

Yu. D. Kononov

Melentiev Energy Systems Institute

Email: dima@isem.irk.ru
Russian Federation, Irkutsk, 664033

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