Macroeconomic models of forecasting development of economy of Far Eastern Federal District and its regions
- Authors: Galin D.M.1, Sumarokova I.V.1
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Affiliations:
- Federal Research Center «Computer Science and Control» of Russian Academy of Sciences
- Issue: Vol 75, No 1 (2025)
- Pages: 99-111
- Section: Methods and Models in Economy
- URL: https://journal-vniispk.ru/2079-0279/article/view/317024
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.14357/20790279250110
- EDN: https://elibrary.ru/ETANMC
- ID: 317024
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Abstract
Construction of macromodels of Far Eastern Federal District and its three regions and forecasting development of their economies with using these macromodels are described in the article. Results of that forecasting for the period until 2033 year by two scenarios, worked out formerly for forecasting economic dynamics of Russia, are presented. Each of these scenarios is characterized by values of world prices of Urals oil and natural gas and reference price of gold for 2021-2033 years. For each region (including federal district) the preferable scenario for development of its economy is determined. For one of scenarios the region with most dynamically developing economy is determined. Forecasting economic dynamics of indicators by structure of volume of shipped production (works, services), which did not go into macromodels, is considered also.
About the authors
D. M. Galin
Federal Research Center «Computer Science and Control» of Russian Academy of Sciences
Email: zavelsky@isa.ru
Research assistant, Kandidat of economic sciences 44/2 Vavilova street, Moscow, 119333
I. V. Sumarokova
Federal Research Center «Computer Science and Control» of Russian Academy of Sciences
Email: zavelsky@isa.ru
Technician of the 1st category 44/2 Vavilova street, Moscow, 119333
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