Tsunami Hazard Assessment on the Egyptian Coast of the Mediterranean


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Abstract

Tsunami forecast possibilities for areas with a small base of historical tsunamis have been discussed using the Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) method, which is based on a statistical analysis of a sufficiently large number of real and predictive earthquakes with a subsequent calculation of possible tsunami waves. This method has been used for a long-term tsunami hazard assessment on the Mediterranean coast of Egypt. The predicted wave heights have been shown to vary along the coastline due to the inhomogeneity of the coastal topography and specific features of the tsunami radiation pattern in the sea. The predicted wave heights for 1000 years vary in the range between 0.8 and 3.4 m.

About the authors

A. I. Zaytsev

Nizhny Novgorod State Technical University n.a. R.E. Alekseev; Special Research Bureau for Automation of Marine Research, Russian Academy of Sciences, Far East Branch

Author for correspondence.
Email: aizaytsev@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Nizhny Novgorod, 603950; Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, 693023

A. Yu. Babeyko

GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: babeyko@gfz-potsdam.de
Germany, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, 14473

A. A. Kurkin

Nizhny Novgorod State Technical University n.a. R.E. Alekseev

Author for correspondence.
Email: aakurkin@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Nizhny Novgorod, 603950

A. C. Yalciner

Middle East Technical University

Author for correspondence.
Email: yalciner@metu.edu.tr
Turkey, bldng K5-014, Ankara, 06800

E. N. Pelinovsky

Federal Research Center Institute of Applied Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences; National Research University-Higher School of Economics; University of Southern Queensland, West St.

Author for correspondence.
Email: pelinovsky@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Nizhny Novgorod, 603950; Moscow, 101000; Darling Heights, Toowoomba, QLD 4350

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