Vol 28, No 1 (2019)

Estimation of the predictive probability function of a negative binomial distribution is addressed under the Kullback—Leibler risk. An identity that relates Bayesian predictive probability estimation to Bayesian point estimation is derived. Such identities are known in the cases of normal and Poisson distributions, and the paper extends the result to the negative binomial case. By using the derived identity, a dominance property of a Bayesian predictive probability is studied when the parameter space is restricted.

In this work we suppose that the random vector (X, Y) satisfies the regression model Y = m(X) + ϵ, where m(·) belongs to some parametric class {\({m_\beta}(\cdot):\beta \in \mathbb{K}\)} and the error ϵ is independent of the covariate X. The response Y is subject to random right censoring. Using a nonlinear mode regression, a new estimation procedure for the true unknown parameter vector β₀is proposed that extends the classical least squares procedure for nonlinear regression. We also establish asymptotic properties for the proposed estimator under assumptions of the error density. We investigate the performance through a simulation study.

We establish a large deviation approximation for the density of an arbitrary sequence of random vectors, by assuming several assumptions on the normalized cumulant generating function and its derivatives. We give two statistical applications to illustrate the result, the first one dealing with a vector of independent sample variances and the second one with a Gaussian multiple linear regression model. Numerical comparisons are eventually provided for these two examples.