Physiographic factors of seasonal distribution of linear trends in air temperature on the Azov-Black sea coast

Abstract

The seasonal distribution of linear trends in air temperature on the coast of the Black and Azov seas in 1936-2010 is analyzed using the quantile regression method. Monthly mean and median values of temperature as well as 10% and 90% quantiles of average daily values of temperature are considered to describe changes in extreme positive and negative temperature anomalies. It is demonstrated that besides tendencies that are common for all meteorological stations, local features and physiographic location of the stations are of great importance for the distribution of temperature trends.