


Vol 42, No 7 (2017)
- Year: 2017
- Articles: 7
- URL: https://journal-vniispk.ru/1068-3739/issue/view/14250
Article
Roshydromet supercomputer technologies for numerical weather prediction
Abstract
The main stages are considered of the process of Roshydromet forecast technologies modernization that started in the 1990s, especially those related to the use of supercomputers for operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) and to the development of supercomputer technologies for NWP with different lead times. Some outcomes of the modernization are presented.



Environmental research and provision of hydrometeorological safety in high-latitude and polar regions
Abstract
The information is presented on the activity of Roshydromet in high-latitude and polar regions for providing the hydrometeorological safety of population and economy in the Arctic and presence in Antarctica as well as on its development and modernization since the 2000s and on the contribution of Roshydromet to Russian studi es and works in the framework of the International Polar Year 2007–2008.



Development of the space observation system and geophysical monitoring system in Roshydromet
Abstract
Two important areas of Roshydromet activity are considered: the development of the space observation system and the creation of the system of ground-, air-, and space-based geophysical monitoring. The investigation, monitoring, and forecasting of the state of the Earth, its climate, severe weather events, catastrophes, and emergencies requires the extended usage of space observation methods. The current state is considered of hydrometeorological space system included in the Roshydromet space observation system. The space- and ground-based segments of this system are briefly described. The ground segment is based on the national space monitoring system which was developed in 1992—2010 and is geographically distributed. The works are reviewed on the formation of the Roshydromet geophysical monitoring system using ground-based, airborne, and space-based observations.



Climate change projections in Russian regions: The detailing in physical and probability spaces
Abstract
The problem is stated of quantification of the 21st century climate change projections across Russia detailed in the physical and probability spaces. The obtained projections are to be used for the quantitative description of future climate impacts on the sectors of the Russian economy and, in the end, for de velop ing the federal, sector, and regional plans of adaptation to climate changes. The formulated problem is solved by massive (50 members) ensemble simulations using the high-resolution (the horizontal resolution is 25 km) system of climate models developed in the Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory.



Long-term variations in surface air pressure and surface air temperature in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes
Abstract
The spatiotemporal variability of surface air pressure and surface air temperature in the Northern Hemisphere troposphere in 1990-2014 is described. In 2005 the low-frequency component (LFC) of average air temperature in January averaged over the latitude zone of 32.5°-67.5° N has stopped its increase that lasted for 35 years (from 1970). The LFC of air temperature in July has continued growing since 1975 (for 39 years). The anomalies of air pressure and air temperature for thirty-year periods and the dynamics of LFC of air temperature and air pressure in the atmospheric centers of action are analyzed.



Radar studies of formation and development of hail cores in severe convective clouds
Abstract
The results of analysis of long-term radar observations of hailstorms are presented. The dynamic characteristics of formation and development of hail cores in severe convective clouds are studied. The statistical sample of radar data included 314 hail cells; for each cell the temporal distributions of measured and computed major radar parameters were constructed using the automated system of acquisition, processing, and presentation of radar data. The most informative time characteristics of hail cores’ development and the interrelation between them were identified. The natural variability of hail core volume is demonstrated. The empirical dependence of the maximum hail core volume on the maximum radar reflectivity of a hailstorm was obtained.



Environmental aspects of cloud seeding
Abstract
The estimates are presented of the possible level of environmental pollution with reagents resulting from precipitation modification by cloud seeding. It is demonstrated that the amount of reagents (crystallizing reagents based on silver iodide (AgI), cooling reagents, and powder reagents) injected to the clouds does not exceed the level of inflow of these chemicals to the atmosphere from natural and anthropogenic sources. These data and the data on the pollution level in the areas where AgI is actively used, allow stating the extremely low impact of cloud seeding on the environmental pollution. No change in the precipitation regime was detected in the regions adjoining the areas where weather modification experiments on the meteorological protection of megalopolises were conducted.


