


Vol 43, No 3 (2018)
- Year: 2018
- Articles: 10
- URL: https://journal-vniispk.ru/1068-3739/issue/view/14266
Communications
Impact of Altered Land Use on the Hydrology of Urban Territories
Abstract
This paper describes the impact of altered land use on urban flooding in Northwest Indiana over a 10-year time span between 1992 and 2001. The studied watershed, the Great Calumet basin, is located on the south shore of Lake Michigan, which is well known as a highly industrialized area. The flood peaks and the time-to-peak values are used to analyze the flooding problems of the study area. The study uses a Hydrologic Engineering Center for Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) model to explore the change in land use represented by Curve Number (CN). The model parameters are calibrated using archived raintall data available in National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and United States Geological Survey (USGS) Instantaneous Data Archive (IDA). All four simulations show that the peak flow of simulated hydrographs in the terrain conditions of 2001 is by 22% higher than that in the terrain of 1992. The paper concludes with the results of simulation analyses that can be used to remedy flooding problems in the study area.



Instruments, Observations, and Processing
Actinometric System Aboard the Yak-42D “Roshydromet” Research Aircraft
Abstract
The actinometric system installed aboard the Yak-42D "Roshydromet" research aircraft is presented. It is designed to study radiation processes in the troposphere. The system is based on standard Kipp&Zonen actinometric instruments for measuring solar, thermal, and ultraviolet radiation fluxes as well as on specially developed radiation models with high-precision methods for solving radiative transfer equations (Monte Carlo, k-distribution, and line-by-line calculations). The combination of actinometric measurements and detailed simulation of radiative transfer in the atmosphere allows examining the radiation balance components throughout the troposphere using in situ measurements at the aircraft location. Some results of studying radiation fluxes obtained during the flights over the Arctic region of the Russian Federation are presented. The data of measurements carried out using the presented system are useful for validating radiation codes utilized in general atmospheric circulation models and for processing satellite remote sensing data.



Article
Laws of Random Walks Derived by A.N. Kolmogorov in 1934
Abstract
In the first half of the 1930s A.N. Kolmogorov was developing analytical methods for the probability theory and presented the solution of the Fokker–Planck type equation. This solution contains scales for the distribution function moments of the mean squares for velocities and relative displacements of the analyzed objects and for the mixed moments of velocities and coordinates. The exclusion of time from these moments leads to the 2/3 law for the velocity structure function and to the Richardson–Obukhov law for the eddy diffusion. The analysis of the fetch laws for wind waves demonstrates that the Kolmogorov laws are manifested in the growth of wave amplitudes and in the form of elevation spectra. These laws also work in the statistics of the planetary surface relief, in the size distribution of the lithospheric plates, in the energy spectra of cosmic rays, and in other processes. In the equation deduced in 1934, probability distribution functions are derived only under the condition of homogeneity of these functions and thereby allow describing a broad range of phenomena and processes.



Atmospheric Blockings in Western Siberia. Part 2. Long-term Variations in Blocking Frequency and Their Relation with Climatic Variability over Asia
Abstract
This paper studies the long-term variability of frequency of atmospheric blockings over Western Siberia in 1948–2015 based on the data of three reanalysis projects. We revealed a decreasing blocking frequency for eight of twelve months. However, since the estimated trends of blocking frequency are small comparing to the significant amplitude of interannual variations, we proposed to divide the entire studied period into several quasi-decadal intervals that differ both in the amplitude of interannual fluctuations of blocking frequency and in trends. The effect of Western Siberian blockings imposed on synoptic and climatic variability of meteorological parameters in Asia was studied. The study demonstrated that in summer teleconnection patterns in temperature and precipitation fields are of the close sign-alternating structure; this indirectly indicates that in Western Siberia the blocking is a part of a large-scale wave mechanism. Like the Ural blockings, the blockings occurring over Western Siberia affect meteorological characteristics within the East Asian monsoon area. In winter time they contribute to lower surface temperature and decreased precipitation in Southeast Asia. In summer during blocking events over Western Siberia, precipitation increases in the East Asian monsoon area.



Estimating the Number of Cloud Layers through Radiosonde Data from Russian Aerological Stations for 1964–2014
Abstract
Radiosonde data are used for the period of 1964–2014 and the method that determines the boundaries and cloud amount based on the profiles of temperature and humidity [23]; long-period statistical characteristics are computed for the cloud layer number for different altitude ranges from the ground to 10 km. The study is performed for the Russian aerological stations located at different latitudes and climate zones. To specify the spatiotemporal features of the atmosphere layering into cloud layers and cloudless layers between them, the estimates of monthly mean, seasonal mean, and annual mean values of cloud layer number as well as of their standard deviations are computed, and the amplitude of their variations is determined. The results qualitatively agree with the data of aircraft-based sounding of the atmosphere as well as with the data of radars and experiments with free balloons.



Validation of Atmospheric Numerical Models Based on Satellite Measurements of Ozone Columns
Abstract
The time series of ozone columns measured with the SBUV satellite instrument over three subarctic stations (Saint Petersburg, Harestua, and Kiruna) are analyzed. The daily and monthly mean ozone values in the layers of 0–25, 25–60, and 0–60 km are compared with the results of simulations with RSHU and EMAC numerical models for the period of 2000–2015. Model data are in good agreement with satellite data both in general and in the cases of rapid short-term ozone loss. However, there are some differences between the models and measurements as well as between the two considered models. These differences require the more detailed analysis in order to modify model parameters. Experimental data demonstrate the increase in ozone columns in the layer of 25–60 km which amounts to 2.1 ± 0.7, 2.4 ± 0.7, and 1.5 ± 0.8% per decade for Saint Petersburg, Harestua, and Kiruna stations, respectively. The results of numerical simulations do not contradict these estimates.



Temporal Variations in the Vertical Distribution of Stratospheric Ozone over Obninsk from Lidar Data
Abstract
The results of lidar measurements of ozone profiles over Obninsk in the altitude range of 12–35 km in 2012–2016 are presented. Temporal variations in total ozone in the above altitude range and seasonal variations in the vertical distribution of ozone are considered. Basic attention is paid to the analysis of ozone profile variations on the daily and weekly scales. The backtrajectory analysis demonstrated that in most cases the formation of layers with low or high ozone values is explained by the direction of meridional advection. Cross-correlation coefficients for the variations in ozone and temperature relative to the current monthly mean variations are calculated. Rather high values of correlation coefficients (~0.4–0.6) are obtained for summer in the low stratosphere (100 and 160 hPa) and for winter in the upper troposphere (50 and 20 hPa). In general, variations in ozone profiles are consistent with available climatologic data.



Icebergs in the Southern Ocean and Factors Defining Their Distribution
Abstract
Using the data of ~58 000 ship observations of Antarctic icebergs in 1947–2014, the map of average summertime concentration of icebergs (namely, of their number within a circle with the radius of 15 nautical miles) in the Southern Ocean was constructed. The main features of the iceberg distribution are revealed, and their possible reasons are investigated. It is shown that in the open ocean sea currents play a key role in the iceberg distribution. Wind effects are pronounced when ocean currents are weak or absent. According to the authors’ estimates, wind plays a decisive role only in the formation of one wide quasimeridional tongue of high iceberg concentration in the Weddell Sea. It is difficult to assess the impact of Antarctic glaciers’ productivity on the iceberg distribution, because currents, wind, and breaking and jamming of icebergs in shallow water areas cause their rapid redistribution. The clear physical explanation of the main features of iceberg concentration distribution on the constructed map indicates that it provides a rather real pattern.



Numerical Simulation of Wave Drag during Downslope Windstorms in Different Regions of Russia
Abstract
The wave drag is considered for downslope windstorms in Novorossiysk, on Novaya Zemlya, and in Pevek. The research is based on the results of numerical simulation with the WRF-ARW model. Special attention is paid to the evaluation of the contribution that wave processes make to the overall dynamics of the phenomenon (based on the ratio of wave and orographic drag) and to the specific features of wave drag for different downslope windstorms.



The Winners of the Conference of Young Scientists
Forecast of Polar Stratospheric Vortex Dynamics Using the SL-AV Global Atmosphere Model
Abstract
The quality of Arctic winter stratospheric dynamics forecast using the SL-AV atmospheric global circulation model is studied. The series of numerical experiments show that forecasts with the lead time up to 7 days are successful. Zonal wind reversal during minor sudden stratospheric warmings is predicted 10–11 days ahead. Overall, the situations of strong polar jet disturbances are beneficial for the forecast accuracy.


