


Vol 221, No 4 (2017)
- Year: 2017
- Articles: 12
- URL: https://journal-vniispk.ru/1072-3374/issue/view/14811
Article



On Calculation of Estimators of Rational Regression Parameters
Abstract
We consider a rational regression function, which is a ratio of two linear regression functions. To estimate its parameters we use minimization of the sum of squared deviations. Two estimation methods, using the sum’s gradient, are presented. We provide numerical results of comparing convergence rates of both methods.



On an Approach to Testing Hypotheses About the Identity of Distributions in Two Samples with Small Sizes
Abstract
This article proposes a group of new criteria for testing hypothesis about the identity of distributions in two small size samples. Their special feature is the dependence on the sample generating distribution even under the null hypothesis. The result of this paper is a certain comprehensive methodology for answering the question about identity of distributions of two given samples, containing one to three tens of observations. The main components of this methodology are: (a) visual sample comparison by a “regression” graph of dependence of their quantiles of the same order, (b) choosing the suitable test from the given group of regression goodness-of-fit tests, using the fact that under the null hypothesis the quantile graph must be close to the line y = x, (c) a modernized method of modeling bootstrap samples for determining different quality characteristics of the chosen goodness-of-fit test. The article does not contain theoretical results that might be formulated as a mathematical theorem. Its conclusions are based on statistical analysis of a large number of sample pairs of different size and origin. Description of such analysis methodology is based on three demonstrative examples from biology.



Statistical Inference Based on Unbiased Estimators for Intervals of Random Length*
Abstract
An estimator for a distribution quintile is proposed and studied with the use of the unbiased approach within the framework of the exponential distribution family model. The application of the quintile of the distribution function’s unbiased estimator to the construction of a chi-square test for the hypothesis about distribution type is justified. Limit behavior of the Bayes risk estimator for the optimal decision rule of group classification is studied under the assumption that the elements of training samples have distributions belonging to the same one-parameter exponential family.






Statistical Decomposition of Volatility
Abstract
In this paper we propose a new approach to evaluating and analyzing the volatility of financial indices, in particular, stock prices. This approach is based on a multidimensional interpretation of the volatility of one-dimensional processes. The foundation of this approach is a model based on the limit theorems for compound doubly stochastic Poisson processes, in which the distributions of the increments of financial index logarithms are represented in the form of mixtures of normal laws.



Asymptotic Distributions of Integrated Square Errors of Nonparametric Estimators Based on Indirect Observations Under Dose-Effect Dependence
Abstract
The goal of the present article is to establish the asymptotic normality of L2-deviations of the kernel estimators of the distribution function Fn(x), defined as Mn = ∫ (Fn(x) − R(x))2ω(x)dx, where R(x) is a conditional average distribution function of a random variable X, ω(x) is a weight function under dose-effect dependence based on the sample U(n) = {(Wi, Yi), 1 ≤ i ≤ n}, Wi = I(Xi < Ui) is an indicator of the event (Xi < Ui), and Y is a random variable that depends on U and defines the measurement error in the injected random dose. These results may be used to construct goodness-of-fit and homogeneity tests under dose-effect dependence.



Nonparametric Tests and Nested Sequential Sampling Plans for Change-Point Detection
Abstract
We propose a new approach for solving nonparametric problems of sequential change-point detection. Nested sequential sampling plans allow using the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test and other nonparametric tests for sequential change-point detection. Exact formulas for the mathematical expectation and the variance of the false detection moment are based on the exact distributions of nonparametric statistics for small sample sizes.



Studying the Power of the Two-Sample Anderson–Darling Test in the Case of Contamination of One Sample
Abstract
We study the power of the two-sample Anderson–Darling test for fixed alternatives, when one sample is drawn from the standard normal distribution and the other is a mixture of two normal distributions. Using the modeling we study the behavior of the power function depending on the proportion of contamination for different sample sizes. For the same alternatives we compare the powers of Anderson–Darling and Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests. Similar results are obtained for the trimmed samples.



On Convergence Rate in the Local Limit Theorem for Densities Under Various Moment Conditions
Abstract
We refine certain estimates of convergence rate in the local central limit theorem for the densities of sums of independent identically distributed random variables possessing finite absolute moments up to the order 2 + δ, where δ is some number from the half-interval (0, 1]. Along with the uniform estimates we obtain non-uniform estimates of the first, second, and third order (for δ = 1), and the estimates in the Lp metrics. The obtained estimates have the form of the sum of two terms, the first of which is the Lyapunov fraction of the corresponding order with the coefficient depending only on δ, and the second one exponentially decays with the growth of the number of summands. The values of the coefficient in the Lyapunov fraction are considerably smaller than the known ones.



Using Probabilistic Models to Study the Asymptotic Behavior of Bell Numbers
Abstract
The use of probabilistic models is often useful for proving combinatorial identities and for studying the properties of special numbers and functions. The proof in this case becomes more simple, intuitive and natural compared to traditional combinatorial and algebraic-analytical methods. In this article we demonstrate the advantages of a probabilistic approach for studying the asymptotic behavior of Bell numbers.



On Convergence Rate Estimates for Some Birth and Death Processes
Abstract
Homogeneous birth and death processes with a finite number of states are studied. We analyze the slowest and fastest rates of convergence to the limit mode. Estimates of these bounds for some classes of mean-field models are obtained. The asymptotics of the convergence rate for some models of chemical kinetics is studied in the case where the number of system states tends to infinity.


