Short-Term Projection Using the Monetary Efficiency Index


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详细

This article has presented a short-term macroeconomic indicator, the index of monetary efficiency, which is an aggregate of two subindices, i.e., monetary stability and monetary freedom. An econometric model has been constructed, in which the GDP depends on the index of monetary efficiency with a lag of 8 months, which allows for the proactive prediction of economic growth. All analytical tools have been evaluated based on the statistical data of the Bank of Russia with a monthly breakdown.

作者简介

E. Balatsky

Center for Macroeconomic Studies of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation; Central Economic Mathematical Institute Russian Academy of Sciences

编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: evbalatsky@inbox.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Moscow; Moscow

N. Ekimova

Center for Macroeconomic Studies of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation

Email: evbalatsky@inbox.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

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