A systems analysis of the significance of factors influencing the epidemiological situation of tuberculosis in Russia

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Abstract

A systematic analysis of the interrelationships between the indicators of the epidemic situation of tuberculosis (EST) and economic, demographic and climatic factors has shown that the effectiveness of managing this situation depends on the totality of factors that must be taken into account when developing optimal management strategies both in the Russian Federation and in other countries characterized by significant heterogeneity of regional characteristics. With significant differences between regions, management strategies should be based primarily on specific values of the dynamics of the studied factors within each region, rather than on generalized indicators of the country as a whole. Along with economic indicators, important determinants of EST in the subjects of the Russian Federation are the temperature regime and population density. The general economic level, which determines the quality of life in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, has a stronger impact on EST than targeted financing of anti-tuberculosis measures.

About the authors

V. N. Krut'ko

Federal Research Center "Computer Science and Control" of Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: krutkovn@mail.ru
Professor, Doctor of Technical Sciences, Candidate of Biological Sciences

T. M. Smirnova

Federal Research Center "Computer Science and Control" of Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: smirnova.tatyana@gmail.com

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