Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Access granted  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Vol 6, No 2 (2016)

Variations in Social-Economic Development by Region

Crises in post-Soviet Russia: Regional projection

Zubarevich N.V.

Abstract

The paper analyzes the factors and trends of the Russian crises of 1990–2010 and their impact on the economic development of regions, the labor market and personal income, and the state of regional budgets. It considers the factors and dynamics of the crisis of 2014–2015 and its difference from previous ones: the conditionality by internal barriers of development with the subsequent influence of external factors, the slower downturn in industry, and the retention of relative stability on the labor market. The main crisis-related problems for regions are revealed: destabilization of their budgets since 2013, the drop in personal income and the advance drop in consumption, and the extended reduction in investments. Differences in crisis-related trends are shown for regions with different economies and geographical positions. The study analyzes the risks and forms of crisis adaptation of the populations of the largest cities with predominance of the service sector in the employment structure, the smaller industrial cities, and the rural periphery. State policy measures to stabilize regional budgets, support industry and regional labor markets in crisis periods are considered.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):95-104
pages 95-104 views

Comparative analysis of labor productivity in Russian regions

Mikheeva N.N.

Abstract

Indicators of labor productivity in Russian regions have been compared. Opportunities and vectors for activating regional factors of labor productivity growth have been identified. The results of dynamic analysis and interregional differentiation of labor productivity based on data of the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) and labor productivity assessments by region and by aggregated economic activity are presented. A trend of reduction in differences in the dynamics of interregional labor productivity levels has been identified. The assessment of hourly productivity by economic activity has shown quintessential interregional differences in mining, construction, and agriculture. The results of comparative analysis of jobs available in the Russian economy are shown in terms of their sectoral distribution, labor productivity, and salary. The Rosstat-developed methods of determining highly productive jobs have been critically overviewed. It is shown that the growth rate of highly productive jobs calculated according to this methodology relates weakly to the labor productivity dynamics and real personal incomes. The vectors of activating regional factors of labor productivity proposed in government documents have been considered. The possibilities and limitations that characterize measures to improve labor mobility are shown based on Russian regional migration data.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):105-114
pages 105-114 views

Assessment of Russian regions by level of innovative development

Khalimova S.R.

Abstract

Innovation activity of Russian regions is considered in two aspects, i.e., creation of innovations and use of innovations. A methodology for assessing the regional level of innovative development is presented. In order to identify the regions’ specialization in different aspects of innovation activity, we constructed two indices of innovative development, i.e., the index of innovation creation and the index of innovation use. Each region receives a numerical estimate for its level of innovative development. Regions are ranked based on these values and assessed as developed or backward. We analyze regions appearing to be leaders in innovative development and assess the stability of their group and leadership position. It is shown that innovations are created in the same leading regions, the number of which (19 regions) remains almost the same over the entire considered period, but they are used in 41 regions, the set of which changes from year to year. Ranking of regions makes it possible to compare innovation levels and to determine strengths and weaknesses of particular innovation systems, which can be taken into account in designing state innovation policy.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):115-124
pages 115-124 views

Spatial Development

Territorial organization of the population and economy of Russia on the brink of tectonic shifts

Shuper V.A.

Abstract

According to D. Trenin, profound geopolitical changes led to the fact that instead of a Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok, the formation of Eurasia from Shanghai to St. Petersburg is seen. Under these conditions, the main defect of Russia’s geopolitical position is its extreme weakness in the Far East. It is necessary to accelerate the development of Vladivostok, so that in 15–20 years it could be Russia’s third most important city, a Pacific Petersburg. This can be achieved by forming a Greater Vladivostok, since the population of its potential metropolitan area has already reached about 600000 people, matching the population of Vladivostok itself. For Greater Vladivostok to become the regional capital of Pacific Russia, transportation problems will require innovative solutions: presumably it will be necessary to develop hovercraft transport as high-speed intrametropolitan transport. This can lead to the formation of a quite exotic system of central places with K = 2 in the Far Eastern Federal District, led by Greater Vladivostok. The city of Khabarovsk will be second in the hierarchy of such a system, Yakutsk and Blagoveshchensk, third.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):125-130
pages 125-130 views

Urban Geography

Migration attractiveness of cities in the post-Soviet space: A case study of Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus

Nefedova T.G., Slepukhina I.L., Brade I.

Abstract

The evolution of an urban settlement system in the post-Soviet space is analyzed by the comparison of the progress of urbanization and changes in migration balances of cities of different size, status, and location in Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus. Despite the differences in size and density of cities, their hierarchical and spatial structure, and management decisions, many trends in the development of city systems were similar in these countries. The reasons for different migration attractiveness of cities of different sizes are discussed including their socioeconomic statuses and infrastructural arrangement. These countries are characterized by strong contrasts in urban settlement patterns where large and very large centers play a major role and there is a significant proportion of small towns. In all three countries, there are significant differences between the quality of life in large urban centers and small towns. The situation before the military events in Ukraine in 2014 is analyzed. Migration in the period of 1990–2013 mostly from rural areas and from small and medium-sized cities to major centers supports the hypothesis of renewed urbanization that had gone uncompleted in Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus in the Soviet era. Two main migration directions can be noted in the post-Soviet period: from rural areas to capitals, their suburbs, and other large cities, and for Russia and Ukraine (until 2014), from the east to the central and southern regions.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):131-143
pages 131-143 views

Structural and economic typology of large Russian cities

Limonov L.E., Nesena M.V.

Abstract

The research objective is to identify the main types of large and very large Russian cities taking into account the features of their structure and economic results. The object of study is Russian cities that are the administrative centers of regions and autonomous okrugs of the Russian Federation, as well as Russian cities with a population over 100000 people. The study used statistical data on the employment structure of economic sectors of cities. To construct the typology, the cluster analysis method was used, based on the results of the principal component analysis. The study showed that the most significant factors affecting the employment structure of Russian cities do not depend on human activity: these are the availability of minerals and geographical position, followed by development of the manufacturing sector and agglomerative effects. Detailed analysis of the factors and results of socioeconomic development of cities makes it possible to systemically approach the construction of their typology during the post-Soviet period, which so far remains absent in the scientific literature.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):144-155
pages 144-155 views

The city of Kaliningrad: Planning the future and young people’s needs

Vendina O.I.

Abstract

A comparative analysis of the views of 20-year-olds (first generation, born and raised in post-Soviet years) about the cities where they live was conducted based on surveys of students in three neighboring largest cities on the southeastern coast of the Baltic Sea: Kaliningrad, Klaipėda, and Gdańsk. The most important aspects of urban life for young people were identified. The needs of Kaliningrad students were compared with the forecast scenarios of city development. It was shown that young people request improvement of public spaces and development of historical memory policy, while the city administration is more concerned with solving quotidian tangible problems and searching for large investments. It is concluded that the lack of consideration for young people’s interests in the project for development of Kaliningrad hampers improvement in living standards in the city in general and human capital accumulation.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):156-165
pages 156-165 views

Spatial Features of Sectoral Development

Geographical features of the foreign electricity trade in the post-Soviet space

Faddeev A.M.

Abstract

In recent years, many studies on the foreign electricity trade in the post-Soviet space have been published, but they have not considered the regional specific nature of this phenomenon. The aim of this work is to identify the regional features of development and degradation of foreign trade in the post-Soviet space over the period 1990–2015. The work is carried out using comparative-geographical, historical and evolutionary, and cartographic methods. The directions of construction and dismantling of the cross-border PTLs, cross-border power transmission, and the loading level of cross-border PTLs are determined. Analysis of these parameters has shown that the general trend for the post-Soviet space has become degradation of the foreign electricity trade and the service infrastructure despite the high potential for international cooperation in this industry. The exceptions are the Baltic states, which have established integral power systems due to unification of the electricity market parameters. The imbalances associated with the closure of the Ignalina nuclear power plant and active development of wind power plants, as well as the requirements of all-European policy, have facilitated construction of cross-border PTLs in the Baltic states. Assessment of prospects has shown that, provided the solution of some foreign policy issues, it is possible to create power pool systems based on the use of electricity produced by hydroelectric power plants in eastern Central Asia and western Transcaucasia. Intensification of electricity exports to Asian countries (China, Afghanistan, Iran, and Turkey) is typical of many countries. The main precondition for the development of foreign trade is an imbalance between growing power consumption in some regions and the availability of cheap energy in others. Less important are fluctuations in the currency rate, foreign policy phenomena, and the policy for developing national power systems.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):166-174
pages 166-174 views

Regional Policy

Content and retrospective analysis of regional strategizing in Russia

Budaeva K.V., Klimanov V.V.

Abstract

Despite the active development of tools and methods for strategic planning, Russian federal, regional, and municipal authorities still have no clear understanding of the role, limits of application, and content value of strategic documents. Also, there are virtually no efficient management systems for the formation, adoption, and implementation of strategies at the regional level, which explains the relevance of this study. The aim of this paper is to analyze the experience of development, adoption, and implementation of strategies for socioeconomic development of federal subjects, estimate their effectiveness, and on this basis develop proposals to improve the acceptance and evaluation processes of strategies in the future. The study presents examples of conformity of already approved strategies for socioeconomic development of the Russian Federation to existing state standards, as well as examples of the completeness of content and presence of mandatory basic elements of strategies. The authors identify the main trends in the evolution of the system for designing and adopting such strategies. We conclude it necessary to develop a uniform conceptual methodology for assessing the quality, efficiency, and effectiveness of socioeconomic development strategies for Russian regions. Recommendations are given for improving the system of development and evaluation of documents for strategic planning at the regional level.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):175-183
pages 175-183 views

The phenomenon of collective foresight as a byproduct of regional strategic planning

Mel’nikova L.V.

Abstract

The quality of strategies for socioeconomic development in federal subjects are analyzed as well as the opportunities arising due to their availability for regional economic research, in particular for assessing the soundness of optimistic expectations and validity of forecasts for regional economic growth. A forecast of Russia’s economic growth was constructed based on separate regional strategies, and its basic parameters were assessed. The forecast results from regions’ “collective foresight” are verified. The study is based on materials of publicly available strategies of socioeconomic development drawn up by federal subjects for the period up to 2020–2030. The research methods include collection and systematization of forecasts developed as part of the strategies; bringing of the expected results of implementation of strategies to a comparable form and their aggregation by federal districts; comparative analysis of the consolidated forecasts for federal districts with a comprehensive forecast for Russian economic development based on the interregional input–output model. It is found that optimistic expectations in the forecast for gross regional product growth often lead to overstated estimates that do not coordinate with the required investment. The attainability of the predicted estimates for regional economic development was assessed by spatial input–output model, which can take into account resource constraints and effects of interregional and intersectoral interactions on a nationwide scale. Moderate forecasts are more characteristic of subjects with high levels of economic development. The extent of predominance of excessively optimistic projections over balanced forecasts is indicative of interregional competition for investment resources. The extent of a deficit of labor resources can be estimated by comparing the consolidated demographic forecast and the existing Rosstat forecast.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):184-192
pages 184-192 views

Geography of Nature Management

Systematic evaluation of environmental and economic effectiveness of the best available technologies: Regional dimension

Zhuravel’ N.M.

Abstract

The paper considers the effects of changes in legislation regulating the nature protection activities of enterprises based on best available technologies (BATs). A hierarchical classification of the most important factors that determine the level of eco-economic effectiveness of BATs is proposed. The interaction of these factors is shown, and the type of metrics used at this level is presented. The effectiveness of BATs is analyzed from the standpoint of how regional natural factors impact the technology, with case studies from the coal, oil, and gas industries as vital areas of nature protection activity. Studies on the replacement of existing technologies with BATs are summarized in order to reduce damage to natural complexes of Siberian coal-mining regions using preventive damage assessment methodologies. It is concluded that the specifics of the regional natural background indisputably affect the amount of this reduction and BAT effectiveness. It is found that the greatest environmental effect is possible for the coal mines of southern Yakutia, the Far East, and the Kuznetsk Basin. It is shown that achievement of design BAT effectiveness in the coal, oil, and gas industries largely depends on the availability and proper use of basic elements of the eco-economic management system, especially environmental impact assessment and monitoring. Recommendations on the use of sustainable development indicators to measure the impact of natural factors on the BAT effectiveness are given.

Regional Research of Russia. 2016;6(2):193-202
pages 193-202 views