


Том 9, № 1 (2019)
- Жылы: 2019
- Мақалалар: 10
- URL: https://journal-vniispk.ru/2079-9705/issue/view/12882
Urban Development
Urbanization and Seasonal Deurbanization in Modern Russia
Аннотация
The course of urbanization in 20th-century Russia and its specifics during Soviet times and today are considered. To explain the specifics of the urbanization process, the authors put forward five hypotheses, discussing them in detail. The first hypothesis pertains to the inadequacy of Russian statistics. The second depends on the conclusion about the urbanization/deurbanization stage within a territory considered urban (urbanized). The third hypothesis explains the fuzziness of current processes in Russia in terms of their diversity and sometimes the opposite character in various regions and for various population groups. The fourth includes the assumption that resettlement from the provinces to megacities since the 2000s has been replaced by temporary labor migrations of the Russian population to large centers in search of livelihood. The fifth hypothesis holds that the massive involvement of owners of second rural homes, used by city dwellers as dachas during warm months, has created a special type of Russian seasonal dacha suburbanization/deurbanization, slowing down deurbanization typical of developed countries.



Regional Capitals of Russia and Their Suburbs: Specifics of the Migration Balance
Аннотация
Regional capitals and their suburbs are a few stable points of population increase in Russia. The article singles out the near-capital areas for 72 regional centers of Russia (except for Moscow and Leningrad oblasts, as well as a number of other federal subjects) on the basis of proximity to regional centers. Indicators of migration population increase (decrease) for 2012–2016 were used for their characteristics, calculated from Municipal Units Database indicators both in whole and in part, with division of (a) intra-, interregional, and international migration and (b) the breakdown of migration rates by five-year age groups. The analysis shows that the migration balance in large cities and their suburbs does not have clearly expressed regional specifics: regional centers and their suburbs that actively attract migrants prevail in all parts of the country, which proves the widespread occurrence of a centripetal migration trend. On average, suburbs differ from regional capitals not only by a more intensive migration increase, but also by its structural features. Centers attract young people, first of all, those entering higher educational institutes. The suburbs, in contrast, attract families with dependent children, the middle-aged, and elderly.



Economic and Demographic Dynamics of Settlements in Leningrad Oblast: Influence of Transborder Clustering Factors
Аннотация
This article presents an original method of assessing the influence of the factor of transborder clustering on the economic and demographic dynamics of the Leningrad oblast territories. It is shown that the economic potential is primarily focused in towns (especially in district centers), as well as in rural settlements neighboring St. Petersburg. Amid the crisis trends evident since summer—autumn 2014, the majority of settlements hosting the components of transborder clusters (in areas such as shipbuilding, machinery industry, wood processing, pharmaceuticals industry, IT technology, etc.) increased their tax base and, at the same time, showed a positive demographic dynamics; the clusters themselves in this generally adverse situation (in the presence of currency and finance turbulence, opposition to sanctions, and, consequently, a reduction in export and import operations), demonstrate an ability to adapt and represent a significant factor of the territory’s socioeconomic resistance.



Regional Development
Territorial Gradients of Socioeconomic Development of Russia’s Borderland
Аннотация
Socioeconomic differences in different parts of Russia’s borderland are analyzed. Based on a compiled database of statistical indicators for 2000–2016 characterizing demographic, economic, and social development, as well as external economic ties of Russia’s border regions and neighboring countries, the territorial gradients on both sides of the Russian border are assessed on a comparative basis. An increase in differences in the demographic potential has been identified in the Russian–Chinese and Russian–Kazakhstan regions. In the post-Soviet borderland, a growing inward turn of the borderline economies for the respective countries and an increasing marginality of border zones have been identified, which hinders interaction and cooperation. It has been established that the largest gradients in the level of economic development are observed at the old borders in the European part of the country inherited from the former Soviet Union. With an analysis of the economic and trade relations between the border regions of Russia and neighboring EU countries, as well as China, it has been shown that the larger the gap between their demographic and socio-economic indicators, the higher the probability of unequal economic relations.



Altai Krai under Conditions of Economic Instability: Key Trends and Features of Development
Аннотация
The article presents the results of monitoring the socioeconomic development of Altai krai in the context of economic instability. The features of development of a typical agroindustrial region are revealed. Along with the characteristics of the dynamics of real sector of the economy, shifts in the investment sphere of the krai, changes in the standard of living, state of the labor market, etc., were considered. It was concluded that under conditions of a structural crisis, the regional economy, compared with the economy of the “average Russian” region, turned out to be more adapted, with a less pronounced reaction to deterioration of the external economic situation. For Altai krai, the lagging nature of crisis in combination with a faster exit from it is noted. Relatively low adaptation of the regional labor market and insufficient growth rates of living standards to overcome the historically established lag behind Russia were also recorded.



Multiscale Analysis of the Dynamics in Reindeer Herding in Arctic Regions: Geographical Shifts and Intraregional and Local Differences
Аннотация
The article presents a multiscale analysis of domesticated reindeer herding in Arctic regions. The analysis revealed factors that have the strongest effect on the dynamics of reindeer livestock at different spatial levels (international, national, and regional) and determined the causes of geographical shifts in domesticated reindeer herding toward the western tundra zone and the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug’s loss of its leading position in number of domesticated reindeer in the post-Soviet period. With a case study of the okrug, we identified intraregional (across municipal districts) shifts and factors affecting them (economic, political, institutional, natural–climatic, and sociocultural). This is the first time that information across all reindeer farms of Chukotka has been systematized and generalized, which has provided insight into particularities of the post-Soviet transformation in select enterprises. Based on field research data collected on regional farms in rural localities or villages of Neshkan, Konergino, and Tavaivaam, we studied in detail local characteristics of development of the industry. It has been inferred that during years of economic crisis, trends in head of reindeer in Chukotka were in sync with the overall economic situation in the country at all spatial levels, although the correlation was not as strong during years of economic stability. Within the industry, intraregional and local contrasts and differences become more pronounced during crisis, and, conversely, subside during a period of stability and growth.



Rural Development
Shadow Economy in the Countryside of Russian Regions
Аннотация
The paper studies the correlation of the scope of the shadow economy and agriculture and validates the statement that growth in the share of the agricultural sector in GDP leads to growth in the shadow economy. The results of testing the statistical correlation of the scope of the shadow economy in the Russian regions and indicators reflecting the agricultural scope are presented (the share of the rural and urban population in the total population, the share of agricultural production in GRP). The research methodology includes an analysis of the approximation curves constructed based on scatter diagrams using the indicator of the share of the urban population and the logarithm of shadow sector indicators. Russian Federal State Statistics Service data and the authors’ calculations of the scope of the shadow economy in Russian regions for 2002–2013 are used. Overall, the authors confirm the hypothesis on existence of a direct correlation between the scope of the shadow sector and share of agriculture in the economy. A noticeable correlation between the scope of the shadow economy in regions with the share of the rural population and a moderate correlation with the share of agriculture, hunting, and forestry in the GRP is revealed. A tendency toward an increase in informal employment in nonagricultural types of activity is specified. It is concluded that population migration from the countryside to cities, and increase of the urban population will contribute in the future to an increase in the scope of the shadow economy in the least urbanized regions and a decrease thereof for regions with a medium level of urbanization.



Migration of Rural Youth in Altai Krai As an Agrarian Region
Аннотация
This paper analyzes changes in the scale and structure of real and potential migration of rural youth and the impact on them of key regulators in Altai krai since the early 2000s using statistical data, results of quantitative and qualitative surveys of the population and experts, public policy documents, and media materials. It describes the model of migration flows of rural youth with consideration for commuting and seasonal migration and gives a quantitative assessment of the scale of migration. The increasing influence of family networks as a catalyst for the migration of young people to cities and the growing role of rural business as an inhibitor are identified. The effects and defects of state policy as regards the impact on socioeconomic development of rural areas in the krai, on the social position for rural youth, consequently, on decreasing its migration are revealed. The orientations of state policy aimed at improving the social situation for rural youth and decreasing its migration are proposed.



Spatial Features of Sectoral Development
Assessment of the Prospects for Mongolian Transit As an Integral Part of the Belt and Road Initiative
Аннотация
The article discusses the problems involved with assessing the prospects for the creation of a transport corridor along the Asia-Europe route through Mongolia as additions to the options of direct relations between China and Russia. The results of model experiments using fuzzy sets show that intensification of transit through the territory of Mongolia is possible only if there is an active state policy of tariff regulation for rail and road transport and creation of a logistics center in Ulaanbaatar.



Methodological Framework of Social Geography
Regional Information Flows: Existing and New Approaches to Geographical Study
Аннотация
The global experience of geographical study of information flows is reviewed for the first time based on journal papers and monographs published in 1988–2017. It is established that the issue is understudied, subject to a shift from understanding the relevance of such studies to attempts to measure and structure information flows. The key areas of geographic study are identified: flows without channels and traffic, channels without traffic, traffic without channels, and flows with channels and traffic. No publication has been retrieved for the fourth area, which is most important for regional studies. Three new approaches are proposed in the framework of next-generation communication network studies and in line with the fourth area: uplink–downlink traffic distribution, redistribution of traffic inside a region proportionally to the population size of settlements, and the definition of potential of mobile communication field. The new approaches are tested with a case study of Russia’s Irkutsk oblast.


