APPROACHES TO CREATING EMISSION FORECASTING SYSTEMS FOR MODERN INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
- Authors: Skobelev D.O.1, Popov A.Y.1, Ganyavin V.A.1, Kostyleva V.M.1, Malyavin A.S.1
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Affiliations:
- Research Institute "Environmental Industry Policy Centre"
- Issue: No 3 (2025)
- Pages: 46-64
- Section: MODELS, SYSTEMS, NETWORKS IN ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT
- URL: https://journal-vniispk.ru/2227-8486/article/view/359999
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.21685/2227-8486-2025-3-4
- ID: 359999
Cite item
Full Text
Abstract
Background. Success in achieving technological sovereignty, technological lead ership and environmental well-being of the state is inextricably linked to the implementation of environmental industrial policy and the transition to the best available technologies. Materials and methods. The methodology for developing a predictive emission control system model, as well as its tests and verifications, is based on a comparison of indirect emission measurements (obtained through modeling) and direct emission measurements (performed using a temporarily installed automatic measuring system). Results. The principles of development of predictive emissions monitoring systems based on mathematical models using technological data are con sidered. The legal basis for the application of such systems at industrial facilities in Russia and abroad is briefly considered. The features of technological processes, their automation levels, as well as typical pollutants emitted into the atmospheric air as part of waste gases are analyzed for key sectors of Russian industry: power generation, ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy, hydrocarbon processing, fertilizers production, cement production). The paper considers the concept of predictive analytics platform, shows the relevance of its development, including the creation of predictive emission monitoring systems, in the context of industrial and techno logical policy of the Russian Federation. Conclusions. The advantage of using large amounts of process data can be put into practice to obtain useful information.
About the authors
Dmitry O. Skobelev
Research Institute "Environmental Industry Policy Centre"
Author for correspondence.
Email: dskobelev@eipc.center
Doctor of economical sciences, director
(42 Olimpijskij avenue, Mytishchi, Russia)Aleksandr Yu. Popov
Research Institute "Environmental Industry Policy Centre"
Email: a.popov@eipc.center
Candidate of chemical sciences, lead researcher of department of chemical and petrochemical industry
(42 Olimpijskij avenue, Mytishchi, Russia)Vasily A. Ganyavin
Research Institute "Environmental Industry Policy Centre"
Email: v.ganyavin@eipc.center
Candidate of technical sciences, deputy head of the engineering center
(42 Olimpijskij avenue, Mytishchi, Russia)Vera M. Kostyleva
Research Institute "Environmental Industry Policy Centre"
Email: v.kostyleva@eipc.center
Head of department of chemical industry and process automation
(42 Olimpijskij avenue, Mytishchi, Russia)Andrej S. Malyavin
Research Institute "Environmental Industry Policy Centre"
Email: a.malyavin@eipc.center
Candidate of technical sciences, head of the department of chemical and petrochemical industry
(42 Olimpijskij avenue, Mytishchi, Russia)References
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