Forecasting functioning parameters of the reconnaissance and fire system in high-tech military conflicts conditions

The article proposes a mathematical apparatus adapted to predict the operating conditions of the elements of the reconnaissance and fire system of missile forces and artillery in modern high-tech military conflicts. The main idea of the proposed approach is based on the assumption that the law of change in the predicted parameter (variable) identified in the retrospective section will remain for a certain period of time in the future. This approach provides a more accurate forecast of the functioning parameters of the reconnaissance and fire system of missile forces and artillery. The main feature of the proposed provisions is to take into account the frequent change in the opponent's tactics of action. It is provided by the use of a mathematical apparatus for discounting retrospective data, which allows you to differently take into account and evaluate new data and information that is outdated to date.