卷 32, 编号 1 (2024)
- 年: 2024
- ##issue.datePublished##: 29.03.2024
- 文章: 9
- URL: https://journal-vniispk.ru/2413-1407/issue/view/21218
完整期次
Political Institutions, Processes, Technologies
“Decolonizationˮ and “Deimperializationˮ: Modern Western Policy Towards Fragmentation of Russia
摘要
Introduction. Multinational Russia at various stages of its existence faces the playing out of the national question by opposing geopolitical centers. The discourse of “decolonization” and “deimperialization” of Russia has acquired a new level of relevance in the international arena after February 24, 2022. The purpose of the article is to identify and investigate the features of the destructive form of ethno-political mobilization in the regions of the Russian Federation through the construction and promotion of the discourse of “decolonization” and “deimperialization” of Russia by Western states.
Materials and Methods. The materials used in the study include U.S. legal documents, resolutions of the European Parliament, publications and speeches of representatives of the Western political elite and scientific and expert community, materials of the United States Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe, content of various organizations, foreign mass media and media foreign agents. The methodological basis of the study is represented by systemic, geopolitical and instrumentalist approaches, as well as such methods as monitoring, discourse analysis and content analysis.
Results. The narrative of “deimperialization” and “decolonization” of Russia in the publications of the Western scientific and expert community and media materials is studied, and the political technologies of Western states oriented at the actualization of ethnic nationalism and, as a consequence, separatist tendencies in the regions of the Russian Federation are revealed. Western projects of practical policy oriented at actualization of national contradictions in the Russian Federation are implemented mainly through the following initiatives: holding events dedicated to “decolonization” and “deimperialization” of Russia; using representatives of Western-oriented national elites to actualize separatist tendencies in the regions of the Russian Federation; adopting declarations on “liberation” of the peoples of Russia from “colonial” dependence; popularization of information about the need for “decolonization”; and the use of the “decolonization” of Russia.
Discussion and Conclusion. “Decolonization” and “deimperialization” of Russia are focused on the implementation of a destructive form of ethno-political mobilization and fragmentation of the Russian Federation along national lines of settlement. The authors identify five technologies for the formation of ethnic nationalism in the regions of the Russian Federation, which are used by Western states in the process of modern confrontation with Russia. The results of the study will be useful for public authorities at both regional and federal levels to develop a set of measures aimed at countering the playing of the “national card” on the territory of Russia by competing geopolitical centers.
10-30
Euroscepticism in the Discourse of “Russian Parties” in Estonia
摘要
Introduction. The party-political system of Estonia, with traditionally Euro-optimistic elites leading it, was previously characterized by the presence of a number of so-called “Russian political parties”, which traditionally professed Euroscepticism and criticized the European Union as whole or certain areas of its activities.
Materials and Methods. The information basis of the paper consisted of the results obtained using a combination of the comparative method (method of comparative analysis) and the method of discourse analysis. A single case study design was chosen for the paper. The data obtained as a result of using the discourse analysis method made it possible to study the indicators of the Eurosceptic discourse of “Russian parties” and process their programs, manifestos, electoral platforms, as well as statements of their high-ranking representatives.
Results. It was revealed that the use of Euroscepticism by the analyzed “Russian parties” when targeting the Russian-speaking diaspora of the state in a number of cases (for example, in case of the Estonian Center Party) has shown some efficacy, allowing it to mobilize the electorate among Russian-speaking citizens. However, it was found that for small marginal “Russian parties” in Estonia this did not demonstrate productivity and benefit, since such efforts did not bring them a significant number of votes in elections at various levels.
Discussion and Conclusion. The results allow us to conclude that a specific characteristic of the Eurosceptic party discourse of the majority of “Russian parties” in Estonia is its focus on pragmatism for ethnic Russian residents living in this state in the form of concrete results that are useful for them: the desire to improve the existing discriminatory position of ethnic Russian population in Estonia through appealing to Brussels, to solve the problem of so called non-citizens, and, finally, to establish good relations between Estonia and its eastern neighbor state – Russia.
31-47
ЭКОНОМИКА И УПРАВЛЕНИЕ НАРОДНЫМ ХОЗЯЙСТВОМ
Methodology for Assessing the Quality of the Economic Space of the Region
摘要
Introduction. The relevance of the topic is determined by the need for theoretical and methodological justification and practical study of the problem of measuring the quality of the economic space of Russian regions and its influence on the development of the regional economy. The absence of this type of research increases the significance of this work. The purpose of the study is to develop methodological issues for measuring the quality of the regional economic space and substantiate the methodology for its integral assessment.
Materials and Methods. The object of the study was Russian regions and their socio-economic state. The authorsʼ methodology is based on system analysis, econometric modeling using indices calculated on panel data for regions, as well as the method of expert surveys. To obtain quantitative estimates of the economic space based on Rosstat data, an information base was created for 85 regions of the Russian Federation, covering the period from 2007 to 2021.
Results. An original methodological approach is proposed, based on a systemic assessment of the total influence of a set of factors on the quality of the regional economic space. Within the framework of this approach, a methodology for measuring the quality of the economic space of a region has been developed and tested.
Discussion and Conclusion. It is proposed to carry out a relative assessment of the quality of the economic space using a system of indicators grouped into three blocks: “input”, “process”, “output”. Such a structure of indicators is capable of systematically reflecting the strengths and weaknesses of a particular region, the sources of regional spatial dynamics, and therefore can be used for an integral assessment of the level of development of territories.
48-70
Methodological Approach to Comprehensive Assessment of Living Standards in Russian Regions
摘要
Introduction. Improving the living standards of the population is the most important task facing public authorities. However, its solution is impossible without a clear understanding of what is meant by this definition and how this indicator should be assessed. Despite the wide representation of studies on this issue, there is actually no unified position and, consequently, no generally accepted assessment.
Materials and Methods. The methods of grouping, dynamic and structural analysis, correlation analysis and others were applied in the framework of the task. The information base of the study was formed by the data of the Federal State Statistics Service of Russia, as well as the works of domestic and foreign scientists in the field under consideration. The research proposed an approach to the formation of an integral assessment of the standard of living of the population of Russian regions, based on a two-stage convolution of 22 private indicators divided into five groups, taking into account the weighting coefficients. Further the methodology was tested on the data on the regions of the Russian Federation.
Results. According to the results of the approbation, the ratings of regions by standard of living for 2017‒2021 were formed, which allowed us to consider its dynamics. It was revealed that, in general, the positions of leaders and outsiders remain stable; the differentiation between regions does not decrease. At the same time, while outsiders have weak positions in the overwhelming number of indicators, leadership can be due to different components of the integral indicator.
Discussion and Conclusion. The obtained results can be used by the authorities responsible for the development and implementation of state policy in the field of regional development, social security and other related areas.
71-89
ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ СОЦИОЛОГИЯ И ДЕМОГРАФИЯ
Regional Health Resort Area:Risk Assessment of Functioning and Development
摘要
Introduction. The sphere of resort recreation in some regions of the Russian Federation in recent years is characterized by unfavorable trends, manifested in a reduction in the number of health resorts, the number of places in them, as well as the number of accommodated persons. In this regard, it is very relevant to study the risks affecting the further functioning of the industry, as well as the development of a list of measures to reduce them.
Materials and Methods. The object of the study is the health resort sector of the Irkutsk Region. The characteristics of the industry are demonstrated using the methods of retrospective and comparative analysis, comparison of the dynamics of a number of indicators: the number of health resort organizations, the average number of beds in them, the number of people accommodated in health resort organizations, the load factor. The assessment of risks of functioning and development of health resort sphere of the region was carried out using the method of expert assessments in the context of six groups of risks: political, economic, social, infrastructural, environmental, legal, according to four criteria ‒ probability, impact, manageability and significance.
Results. Based on the analysis, it was shown that, having a significant potential, the health resort industry of the region as a whole is characterized by satisfactory results of functioning. The analysis of the significance and manageability of risks allowed the author to define strategies for their management, to formulate the main measures for the development of the regional health resort complex of the Irkutsk Region, aimed at reducing infrastructural, economic and environmental risks.
Discussion and Conclusion. The results obtained can be useful for employees of public institutions, whose competence includes the development of management decisions aimed at the development of health resort sphere of the Irkutsk Region.
90-107
Dynamics of Ethnocontact Zones in the Turkic Republics of the Ural-Volga Region in the Post-Soviet Period
摘要
Introduction. The interest of world science in assessing the ethnic diversity of countries and regions predetermines the development of the concept of ethnocontact zones. To test new methods within the framework of the concept, there is a need to conduct research not only at the regional, but also at the intraregional levels. The purpose of the study is to classify the municipalities of Chuvashia, Tatarstan and Bashkortostan according to ethnic dynamics in the post-Soviet period using the methodology developed by the authors in accordance with the concept of ethno-contact zones.
Materials and Methods. The empirical basis of the study is ethnic statistics at the level of municipalities of the republics based on the results of the population censuses of 1989, 2002 and 2010. The authorsʼ method of identifying the phases of development of ethnocontact zones, which was first applied at the municipal level, is presented.
Results. The general trend of ethnic processes in the last decade of the 20th century was the titularization of the population of the republics (with the exception of Chuvashia), and in the first decade of the 21st century – detitularisation of the population (except for Tatarstan). The processes of titularisation and detitularisation at the level of municipalities are determined both by the general trend in the change in the share of the titular population of the republics, and by ethnogeographic features associated with the different proportion of titular peoples in municipalities, which is largely due to their central, semiperipheral or peripheral position within the republics.
Discussion and Conclusion. The spatial patterns of ethnic dynamics revealed in the course of the study, corresponding to certain phases of development of ethnocontact zones, make it possible to forecast ethnic processes at the intraregional level.
108-125
Structural and Timing Transformations of Fertility ‒ Threats to Demographic Security of the Republic of Tatarstan
摘要
Introduction. The relevance of the article is determined by the importance of assessing the determinants of fertility to determine the possible prospects for its change and the correct justification of the directions and measures of demographic policy aimed at increasing it. The aim of the study is to identify the determinants of fertility decline in the Republic of Tatarstan in 2020‒2022 in comparison with the pre-pandemic period and to predict their impact.
Materials and Methods. The authors have calculated and analyzed the dynamics of age-pecific fertility rates in the Republic of Tatarstan. The influence of the structural factor and the factor of birth intensity, as well as the indirect factor ‒ age-specific marriage rates ‒ was estimated. Using the method of age movement, the dynamics of fertility and the impact of these factors on it up to 2042 were forecasted.
Results. The decrease in the total fertility rate in the Republic of Tatarstan in 2020‒2022 was due to changes in the sex and age structure of the population. The excess of the total fertility rate of the region over the indicators of the Volga Federal District and the Russian Federation is due to higher total coefficients for first and second births. The difference between the average number of first births for real generations and for calendar years is determined by temporal shifts associated with postponement of first births due to late entry into first marriage and registered marriages.
Discussion and Conclusion. It is predicted that the number of young people will decrease until 2028 and the number of births until 2031. The negative impact of the factor of the gender and age structure of the population will last until 2030, in the 2030s the structural factor will contribute to an increase in the overall fertility rate.
126-143
Social Structure, Social Institutes and Processes
Assessment Future Evolution of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs): SWOT Analysis (Global and Regional Measuring)
摘要
Introduction. Digital technologies contribute to the rapid development of communications in various spheres of society. However, MOOCs, despite being a young and exciting phenomenon, have both positive and negative aspects. The purpose of the article is to study and analyze the phenomenon of MOOCs in its global and regional dimensions, and assessment their future evolution, identifying the strengths and weaknesses in their development, especially for the development of regional education systems.
Materials and Methods. Theoretical research is carried out in the context of a systematic approach to maximize the study of all the features and patterns of the phenomenon under study, which is a system. The research methodology used is SWOT analysis, which helps to identify the advantages, disadvantages, opportunities, and threats for the future of higher education. The method helped to identify, onthe one hand, the positive and negative aspects of the development of massive open online courses of the MOOC, on the other, to identify the opportunities and threats of online learning systems for the future development of higher education (global and regional levels).
Results. The authors show that open online courses are an important addition to traditional university education, built on the basis of common forms, but working within the framework of a regional dimension. They allow you to increase the level of knowledge and competencies in various industries and beyond territorial borders by building specific online communities). However, the authors also show that this open communication system is considered by many of its participants not as a specific addition to the traditional one, but as its real alternative. The main results of the study is the identification of hidden and unexpressed weaknesses in the MOOC system. Instead of the expected democratization of education and enlightenment, if the existing threats are underestimated, it may lead to degradation and a new phase of the global educational crisis. The scientific novelty of this research lies in the fact that the phenomenon of MOOCs is still young and has been poorly studied in scientific literature.
Discussion and Conclusion. In conclusion, the authors summarize the specifics of the manifestations of an open system of knowledge communication (its global and regional dimensions). The practical significance of this study of the authors lies in the analysis and generalization of the problems of the development of online education. This article will be useful for anyone interested in research issues of theoretical and practical aspects of the modern education system development (both regional and global levels of its formation).
144-162
Transformations of the Family Institution in the Perception of Student Youth in the South of Russia
摘要
Introduction. The family, being one of the most important social institutions, is subject to significant changes that occur in society and in its social organization. However, the direction of family transformations does not immediately become obvious, which actualizes their scientific understanding on the basis of sociological measurements. The purpose of the article is to identify the attitude of student youth in the South of Russia to the nature of the transformations taking place in the modern institution of the family and, on their basis, to formulate generalizing conclusions and recommendations. The importance of such research is determined by the special role of the student social group in ensuring the sustainability of society and in shaping its future appearance.
Materials and Methods. The object of the study was student youth of the South of Russia. The empirical basis of the study was the results of a survey of full-time students at 13 universities and university branches in the South of Russia (Rostov Region, Krasnodar and Stavropol Territories) based on a representative sample (n = 639). The questionnaire survey method made it possible to identify some of the students’ attitudes and aspirations regarding the institutional state of the family. The conceptual basis of the study was the constructivist approach, which considers the most important theoretical meanings and trajectories of the process of family transformation (crisis and modernist) as social constructs that influence students’ perception of the direction of development of the family institution.
Results. Analysis of the collected empirical material shows a certain duality in the position of student youth in the South of Russia in determining priority trajectories for the development of the family institution. This is evidenced by students’ perception of the crisis and modernist constructs of family transformation through the analysis of their main indicators (the state of attractiveness of a familychild lifestyle; attitude to the dominance of having few children and having one child; perception of childfreeness; attitude to divorce and cohabitation, etc.). The survey also revealed a certain predominance among students of negative assessments of the influence of individualistic value sentiments on the institutional stability of the family.
Discussion and Conclusion. Using the example of the southern region of Russia, the conclusion was confirmed that the worldview, socio-economic and information-cognitive state of society influences the priority of perception of various trajectories of transformation of the family institution (crisis and modernization). The attitude of students to semantic indicators of their perception is ambiguous. This is largely due to the heterogeneity of value orientations in our society. The practical significance of the study lies in the fact that it made it possible to identify the opinion of student youth about their attitude to the current state of the family institution and the prospects for its development. The results obtained may be useful to scientists studying this issue, as well as practitioners forming and implementing youth policy.
163-181