Mathematical modeles in the complex estimation of population health

In the given article, the technique of constructing the complex indexes of health and unhealth of the population is esteemed. The «unhealth» indicator, having multiplicative structure, is selected for the basis. The levels of «unhealth» indicator are determined depending on distribution of studied population by age, number of cases and degree of sickness. The given technique allows numerically characterize the condition of health of the studied group not only by quantity of cases, but also in a view of quality component. Level of «health» is understood as numerical value complementing a level of «unhealth» up to the greatest possible value, as in case of a separate individual, and cumulatively for the whole investigated group of the population. The indicator of «health» contains two components: the realized heath and potential health. Indicator of «unhealth» also has two components: potential unhealth and death.

The implemented indicators allow to compare separate groups of the population by a number of parameters bound to morbidity and age structure. The example of calculating the «health» and «unhealth» indicators on the basis of real statistical data is given.