On an Effective Ratio of Conventional to Renewable Energy Sources in the Russian Electric-Power Industry

Abstract

The problem of determining the effective ratio of conventional and renewable energy sources is considered, as well as the problem of predictive assessment of development trends in the Russian electricpower industry. A conceptual model of the use of renewable and conventional energy sources developed on the basis of the Lotka–Volterra differential equations is proposed to check the benchmarks. Coefficients of the differential equations system are identified on the basis of official statistical reports. The correctness of benchmarks for the share of electricity produced on the basis of renewable energy sources is estimated. Recommendations are given for increasing the share of renewable energy sources in the structure of the Russian energy sector.